Geography
Poll Type
Race
Candidate
Population
Texas Senate Republican Primary Runoff Ballot Test
If the GOP Primary for Texas Senate were being held today, who would Texans vote for?
Populations in this average
LV
An adult identifed as registered and likely to vote in an upcoming election by a pollster.
RV
An adult identified as registered to vote by a pollster.
Adults
Anyone 18 years of age or older.
Ken Paxton
53.50%
John Cornyn*
40.10%
Estimate
90% of polls fall in this range
* = Incumbent
23 polls included in this average.
| Field Dates | Sample | Pollster/Sponsor | Result | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| May 21 – 23 | 1,018 LV | Quantus Insights | Ken Paxton 52.70% 43.40% John Cornyn | Ken Paxton +9.3 |
| May 20 – 21 | 700 LV | SoCal Strategies | Ken Paxton 56.80% 35.40% John Cornyn | Ken Paxton +21.4 |
| May 6 – 11 | 600 LV | Global Strategy Group / GIFFORDS | Ken Paxton 52.00% 40.00% John Cornyn | Ken Paxton +12 |
| May 2 – 5 | 800 LV | Peak Insights / Texans for a Conservative Majority | John Cornyn 47.00% 46.00% Ken Paxton | John Cornyn +1 |
| May 3 – 5 | 1,810 LV | Remington Research Group / Lone Star Liberty PAC | Ken Paxton 47.00% 36.00% John Cornyn | Ken Paxton +11 |
| Apr 28 – May 1 | 1,200 LV | University of Houston Hobby School of Public Affairs / YouGov | Ken Paxton 48.00% 45.00% John Cornyn | Ken Paxton +3 |
| Apr 11 – 14 | 1,143 LV | co/efficient | John Cornyn 44.00% 43.00% Ken Paxton | John Cornyn +1 |
| Apr 6 – 9 | 800 LV | Peak Insights / Texans for a Conservative Majority | John Cornyn 44.00% 43.00% Ken Paxton | John Cornyn +1 |
| Apr 6 – 7 | 1,225 LV | Texas Public Opinion Research | Ken Paxton 48.00% 40.00% John Cornyn | Ken Paxton +8 |
| Mar 19 – 23 | 600 LV | GQR / Senate Majority PAC | Ken Paxton 47.00% 42.00% John Cornyn | Ken Paxton +5 |
= Internal poll
Internal polls from the same candidate are averaged together and weighted as no more than 1 poll in our average.
Read our methodology.